Championship Tips – 9th March
I’ve been researching the Championship games tonight too, although it took me a while, and I only have time for some very quick write-ups on the 4 games I’m interested in:
Crystal Palace vs Bristol City
Just going off very recent form here really. Palace reacted very well to losing Neil Warnock with a great victory at the weekend, whereas City were taken apart by Doncaster, and they now have to travel again to Crystal Palace a few days later. This is a great chance for Palace to jump up the table and put some room between them and relegation, and I can see them taking full advantage of it at home tonight.
Crystal Palace @ 1.95 with Bet365 – 6 points (Returned 0)
Peterborough vs Sheff Utd
Tonight, Sheffield United travel to rock-bottom Peterborough, and this game represents a great chance for them to start making some ground up and getting back into the playoff places. Peterborough are on a mini run of form recently, but it’s not enough for them to avoid almost certain relegation, and I don’t think they’ll be motivated enough to avoid losing to United.
Sheff Utd @ 2.30 with Bet365 – 5 points (Returned 0)
Watford vs Swansea
The home side Watford will want to avoid losing here as they are hovering dangerously above the relegation zone. They won’t want to over-extend themselves against a team very capable of getting results away from home, and so will probably settle for a point. Swansea have also drawn almost half of all their away games this season, so it’s likely the points will be shared here.
Draw @ 3.25 with Bet365 – 4 points (Returned 0)
Ipswich vs Cardiff
Going purely on the stats here – a draw looks the most likely result by far as Ipswich have drawn 10 of their 16 home games this season. Like the Watford vs Swansea game, Ipswich will want to keep putting points on the board to stay above the relegation zone while Cardiff in their current form probably aren’t quite capable of taking all 3 points tonight. I think this game is definitely drawn more than once every 3 games, so surely a good value bet at 3.2.
Draw @ 3.20 with Bet365 – 4 points (Returned 0)
Total Stake: 19 points
Total Return: 0 points
Total Profit: -19 points
League One Tips – 8th March 2010
| Date/Time | 1 | Home Team | X | Away Team | 2 |
| 8th March ’10 – 19:45 | 1.90 | Colchester United | 3.40 | Brighton & Hove Alb. | 4.50 |
Only one game in League One tonight, but luckily I have a pretty good feeling about it:
Colchester vs Brighton
For starters, the price on Colchester in this game is too short here so I’m not interested in that. Brighton have been playing some decent football recently and I’m very confident they’ll get something out of this game. Their away form this season has been impressive, and arguably better than their home form – they’ve only lost four away games all season. I’m not quite confident enough to say that they’ll take all 3 points, but I think 3.40 for the draw represents some excellent value, as I think this game will be drawn more like 35-40% of the time.
Colchester vs Brighton DRAW @ 3.40 – 6 points with Bet365 (Returned 20.4)
Total Stake: 6 points
Total Return: 20.4 points
Total Profit: +14.4 points
League Two Tips – 2nd March 2010
| Date/Time | 1 | Home Team | X | Away Team | 2 |
| 2nd March ’10 – 19:45 | 2.25 | Aldershot | 3.25 | Bradford | 3.25 |
| 2nd March ’10 – 19:45 | 3.10 | Cheltenham | 3.30 | Hereford | 3.50 |
| 2nd March ’10 – 19:45 | 2.10 | Darlington | 3.30 | Port Vale | 2.30 |
| 2nd March ’10 – 19:45 | 1.44 | Notts County | 4.33 | Macclesfield | 7.00 |
| 2nd March ’10 – 19:45 | 1.90 | Rochdale | 3.50 | Rotherham | 3.80 |
| 2nd March ’10 – 19:45 | 2.50 | Torquay | 3.30 | Dag & Red | 2.75 |
With only a couple of games from League 1, I decided to look at the six League 2 fixtures on offer for Tuesday’s games, and I found two fixtures which interested me:
Notts County vs Macclesfield
Notts County are high on new-manager-syndrome at the moment, and are also coming off the back of a 5-0 victory at the expense of Hereford on Saturday. While this was a flattering scoreline, it would still have been a very comfortable victory without the drama of the last 2 or 3 minutes. County will be looking to take advantage of their many games in hand and Steve Cotterill will want to push really hard for automatic promotion. I see them continuing their winning ways in Tuesday’s game against Macclesfield with a victory by 2 or 3 goals, and even the 1.44 available on Bet365 looks quite generous for an in-form County team at home.
Notts County @ 1.44 with Betfair – 8 points (Returned 11.52)
Aldershot vs Bradford
Aldershot had a very decent away win this past weekend at Chesterfield, but their home form has been lacking recently, only securing 1 win from their last 5 home games. Bradford are doing well under Peter Taylor and are on a good mini-run of form, including an impressive 3-1 away win at Rochdale seven days ago. They should be oozing confidence coming into this game and I think they have a real chance of taking all 3 points at the Recreation Ground, so I’m going to have a small piece of Bradford at a decent price.
Bradford @ 3.25 with Bet365 – 3 points (Returned 0 points)
Total Stake: 11 points
Total Return: 11.52 points
Total Profit: +0.52 points